Piauí vs 4 de Julho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.7%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
39%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Piauí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
PIC
2 - 0
PIA
40%
25%
36%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
PIA
1 - 1
RIV
28%
26%
46%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2017 |
PIA
1 - 0
PAR
28%
24%
48%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | +3 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
FLA
1 - 3
PIA
60%
21%
19%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | +2 |
| 31 Mar. 2017 |
ALT
2 - 1
PIA
76%
16%
8%
|
28 | 49 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
4 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2017 |
4DE
2 - 1
PIC
50%
24%
27%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
4DE
2 - 2
RIV
25%
27%
48%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
ALT
3 - 0
4DE
67%
19%
14%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
4DE
1 - 1
PAR
31%
26%
43%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2017 |
FLA
1 - 4
4DE
47%
24%
29%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +2 |