Piast Żmigród vs Stal Brzeg analysis


27	ELO	39
3.1%	Tilt	-7.2%
9896º	General ELO ranking	7167º
178º	Country ELO ranking	142º
ELO win probability

29.8%

Piast Żmigród

21.9%

Draw

48.4%

Stal Brzeg

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

29.8%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.1%

21.9%

Draw

0-0

3.2%

1-1

9.3%

2-2

6.8%

3-3

2.2%

4-4

0.4%

5-5

<0%

0

21.9%

48.4%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

-3%

-18%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Piast Żmigród

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
06 Aug. 2016	GOR 1 - 1 PZM 71% 17% 13%	28	38	10	0
30 Jul. 2016	PZM 2 - 1 PAW 34% 26% 40%	25	35	10	+3
05 Jun. 2016	RBD 0 - 3 PZM 8% 15% 78%	24	5	19	+1
29 May. 2016	PZM 1 - 2 GOR 23% 25% 52%	25	39	14	-1
26 May. 2016	ILR 1 - 3 PZM 40% 23% 37%	24	21	3	+1