Piast Żmigród vs Lechia Dzierżoniów analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.8%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
12.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Piast Żmigród
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2017 |
OLK
2 - 3
PZM
15%
19%
66%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2017 |
PZM
2 - 1
UTS
61%
19%
20%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
POL
4 - 2
PZM
61%
21%
18%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
PZM
0 - 2
MLE
50%
21%
29%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
MGJ
1 - 1
PZM
74%
17%
10%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Lechia Dzierżoniów
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2017 |
STA
3 - 0
DZI
79%
14%
6%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2017 |
DZI
1 - 0
OLK
68%
18%
15%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
UTS
3 - 4
DZI
68%
17%
15%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
DZI
0 - 3
POL
19%
22%
59%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
MLE
4 - 1
DZI
71%
16%
13%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | -1 |