Pianese vs Virtus Castelfranco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.3%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
11.2%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pianese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
VFC
4 - 1
PIA
46%
25%
29%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
PIA
2 - 3
COR
29%
24%
47%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
PIA
1 - 0
LEN
37%
25%
38%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
SDT
1 - 4
PIA
38%
23%
39%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
MEZ
6 - 2
PIA
35%
26%
40%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Virtus Castelfranco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
VIR
0 - 0
MEZ
28%
26%
45%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
SDT
1 - 0
VIR
64%
19%
18%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
FIO
2 - 0
VIR
54%
24%
22%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
VIR
0 - 0
URI
32%
23%
45%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
RIB
0 - 1
VIR
77%
14%
9%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | +1 |