Pianese vs Villabiagio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
27.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pianese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
PIA
2 - 0
ASD
68%
18%
15%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2018 |
ACS
1 - 1
PIA
38%
25%
37%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
FOR
2 - 3
PIA
62%
21%
16%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2018 |
IMO
4 - 1
PIA
62%
22%
17%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
PIA
1 - 0
TUT
52%
24%
24%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Villabiagio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2018 |
VIL
2 - 1
CAS
56%
20%
24%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
RIM
2 - 0
VIL
70%
19%
11%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
VIL
4 - 2
FIO
43%
24%
33%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +2 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 2
VIL
33%
23%
44%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
VIL
1 - 3
COR
55%
20%
25%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -1 |