Pianese vs Seravezza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
26.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pianese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
SGP
0 - 0
PIA
10%
17%
74%
|
40 | 18 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2018 |
CAN
0 - 2
PIA
21%
21%
58%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
PIA
3 - 0
SPO
59%
22%
20%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
MPO
0 - 1
PIA
49%
26%
25%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
PIA
0 - 1
TUT
68%
19%
13%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Seravezza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
SER
1 - 1
FCV
63%
19%
18%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
MON
3 - 2
SER
46%
23%
31%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
SER
3 - 1
GHI
52%
22%
26%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
SCA
0 - 0
SER
32%
23%
45%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
SER
0 - 0
GAV
29%
25%
46%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |