Pianese vs Scandicci analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
18.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pianese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2018 |
SPO
3 - 1
PIA
21%
24%
54%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
PIA
4 - 1
MON
54%
24%
22%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +2 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
ROM
0 - 2
PIA
31%
26%
43%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
PIA
2 - 1
IMO
32%
26%
42%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +2 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
MEZ
1 - 1
PIA
25%
24%
51%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Scandicci
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
SCA
2 - 1
SIN
69%
17%
14%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
URI
0 - 2
SCA
39%
23%
38%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
FBC
1 - 2
SCA
47%
22%
31%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +2 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
SCA
4 - 0
LAV
38%
25%
37%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | +2 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
SAV
0 - 1
SCA
78%
15%
7%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | +1 |