Pianese vs Mezzolara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
18.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pianese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
URI
1 - 0
PIA
34%
23%
43%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
PIA
2 - 1
IMO
24%
26%
50%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | +3 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
FIO
0 - 2
PIA
34%
26%
40%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
PIA
2 - 1
SDA
52%
22%
27%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
RIB
1 - 0
PIA
43%
25%
32%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Mezzolara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
FIO
2 - 2
MEZ
38%
27%
35%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
MEZ
2 - 1
URI
47%
22%
31%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
ACS
1 - 2
MEZ
41%
26%
34%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | +2 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
MEZ
0 - 0
RIB
44%
24%
32%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
CAS
3 - 1
MEZ
58%
21%
22%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -2 |