Pianese vs Jolly Montemurlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
29.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pianese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
FOL
0 - 1
PIA
53%
25%
22%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
PIA
4 - 0
FCV
23%
25%
51%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | +5 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
ACS
2 - 1
PIA
55%
25%
20%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
PIA
0 - 1
ASG
20%
24%
56%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
GHI
2 - 1
PIA
67%
18%
14%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Jolly Montemurlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
JMO
1 - 1
MPO
55%
22%
23%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
GAV
2 - 1
JMO
54%
24%
22%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
JMO
0 - 1
VOL
82%
12%
6%
|
40 | 19 | 21 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
VFC
0 - 2
JMO
37%
25%
38%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
FCV
0 - 1
JMO
64%
21%
15%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +1 |