Pianese vs Follonica Gavorrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
41.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+61%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pianese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
SPO
1 - 0
PIA
41%
29%
31%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
PIA
3 - 1
RIE
64%
20%
16%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
BAR
2 - 1
PIA
47%
26%
27%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
PIA
4 - 2
UNV
80%
13%
7%
|
39 | 19 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2021 |
GAV
1 - 0
PIA
44%
27%
29%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Follonica Gavorrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
GAV
1 - 1
TIF
61%
22%
17%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
GAV
1 - 1
SDT
51%
24%
25%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
PRO
0 - 3
GAV
20%
21%
59%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
GAV
4 - 1
ARZ
31%
27%
42%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | +3 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
SDT
3 - 3
GAV
42%
27%
31%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |