Pianese vs Flaminia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
16.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+47%
-47%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
60
1º
8º
2º
46
3º
11º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
60 | 61 |
2º
|
98.5% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 58 |
3º
|
64% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
4º
|
65.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
46 | 49 |
5º
|
83.5% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
68% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 46 |
7º
|
35% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 45 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 44 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 43 |
10º
|
22.5% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 43 |
11º
|
21% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
73% | |
|
13º
|
38 | 38 |
13º
|
57% | |
|
14º
|
37 | 37 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
37 | 37 |
15º
|
24.5% | |
|
16º
|
35 | 36 |
16º
|
52.5% | |
|
17º
|
32 | 32 |
17º
|
26.5% | |
|
18º
|
32 | 32 |
18º
|
26.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 83.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 16.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pianese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
ATT
2 - 0
PIA
24%
23%
53%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
PIA
1 - 1
ORV
78%
13%
9%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
PIA
1 - 1
GAV
53%
24%
24%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
ACS
1 - 2
PIA
25%
29%
47%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
USP
3 - 0
PIA
44%
27%
29%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Flaminia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
FLA
0 - 3
USP
23%
26%
51%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
ARZ
2 - 0
FLA
63%
21%
16%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
FLA
0 - 0
ASD
51%
22%
27%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
OST
2 - 1
FLA
28%
24%
48%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
FLA
2 - 1
MON
65%
19%
16%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |