Pianese vs Pro Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.7%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
9%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.7%
10.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pianese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2022 |
PIA
2 - 0
TIF
46%
23%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
USP
3 - 0
PIA
52%
25%
23%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -2 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
ARZ
2 - 0
PIA
61%
21%
18%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
PIA
0 - 3
SDT
33%
27%
40%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
FOL
1 - 1
PIA
34%
26%
40%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Pro Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
PRO
1 - 2
SCA
23%
22%
54%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
USP
2 - 1
PRO
73%
17%
11%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
TIF
2 - 2
PRO
75%
15%
10%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
PRO
2 - 3
ASD
44%
22%
34%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
ARZ
2 - 1
PRO
80%
13%
7%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | 0 |