Piacenza vs Virtus Bergamo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.8%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
13.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
21.2%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.4%
4.8%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Piacenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
INV
0 - 2
PIA
23%
23%
53%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
PIA
1 - 0
LEC
67%
19%
14%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
SER
1 - 1
PIA
23%
24%
53%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
PIA
2 - 1
CAR
83%
13%
5%
|
45 | 25 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
PRO
1 - 2
PIA
12%
20%
68%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Virtus Bergamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
VBE
0 - 2
PER
39%
24%
37%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
CIS
2 - 0
VBE
66%
18%
15%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
VBE
0 - 3
INV
37%
23%
41%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -2 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
FOL
2 - 0
VBE
46%
23%
31%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
LEC
3 - 0
VBE
65%
18%
16%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |