Piacenza vs Varesina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.7%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.9%
7.4%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+58%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Piacenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
OLG
1 - 1
PIA
14%
22%
64%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2016 |
PIA
3 - 1
PSM
82%
13%
5%
|
47 | 28 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
ASS
0 - 2
PIA
34%
25%
41%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
PIA
2 - 1
GRU
71%
18%
11%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
PER
1 - 2
PIA
17%
23%
60%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Varesina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
VAR
2 - 2
PER
51%
23%
26%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
FOL
0 - 0
VAR
30%
23%
47%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
VAR
0 - 0
CIS
54%
22%
25%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
VBE
0 - 1
VAR
32%
23%
46%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
VAR
2 - 1
INV
48%
22%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +1 |