Piacenza vs Siena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
34.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Piacenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
TUT
1 - 4
PIA
25%
26%
49%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
PIA
1 - 0
PIS
55%
23%
22%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
OLB
1 - 3
PIA
39%
25%
37%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
PIA
3 - 0
USC
30%
27%
43%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | +2 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
USA
1 - 0
PIA
64%
22%
14%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
LIV
0 - 2
SIE
63%
21%
17%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
SIE
1 - 2
RCR
71%
18%
11%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
PIS
1 - 0
SIE
29%
25%
46%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
SIE
2 - 1
ACP
65%
21%
14%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
SIE
0 - 1
COM
40%
27%
33%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |