Coppa Italia 1/16
Global 2-0
Piacenza vs Reggina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.8%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
12.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Piacenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
PIA
2 - 0
FIO
31%
26%
43%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1999 |
PIA
0 - 0
BOL
41%
27%
32%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1999 |
REG
0 - 0
PIA
36%
29%
36%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1999 |
INT
2 - 1
PIA
75%
16%
9%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1999 |
REG
1 - 0
PIA
32%
30%
39%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Reggina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
REG
2 - 2
PAR
15%
25%
60%
|
76 | 91 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1999 |
LEC
2 - 1
REG
51%
25%
24%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1999 |
REG
0 - 0
PIA
36%
29%
36%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
PRG
2 - 1
REG
60%
22%
18%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1999 |
REG
1 - 0
PIA
32%
30%
39%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |