Piacenza vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
40.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Piacenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
TER
0 - 1
PIA
40%
28%
33%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
PIA
0 - 1
CAT
60%
22%
18%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
TRE
1 - 1
PIA
27%
28%
45%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2004 |
PIA
3 - 1
ASC
60%
23%
18%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
SAL
3 - 2
PIA
27%
29%
45%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
PRG
2 - 0
VIC
75%
17%
8%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
TOR
2 - 0
PRG
33%
26%
41%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2004 |
TER
0 - 2
PRG
22%
25%
53%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2004 |
PRG
0 - 2
EMP
62%
22%
16%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
PRG
4 - 1
PES
76%
16%
8%
|
84 | 56 | 28 | 0 |