Coppa Italia 1/16
Global 3-2
Piacenza vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.5%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.8%
7.8%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Piacenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1993 |
PIA
1 - 1
CAG
29%
30%
41%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1993 |
INT
2 - 0
PIA
78%
16%
7%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1993 |
PIA
2 - 1
LEC
50%
27%
23%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 1993 |
REG
1 - 1
PIA
56%
27%
17%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1993 |
PIA
0 - 0
ACM
13%
23%
65%
|
71 | 94 | 23 | +1 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1993 |
PRG
2 - 1
GEN
17%
25%
58%
|
57 | 81 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1992 |
PRG
1 - 3
FIO
11%
21%
68%
|
57 | 83 | 26 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1992 |
FIO
1 - 0
PRG
85%
11%
4%
|
58 | 83 | 25 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 1992 |
PRG
2 - 0
USC
32%
31%
37%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | +2 |
| 24 Aug. 1991 |
PRG
0 - 1
CES
32%
30%
39%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | 0 |