Piacenza vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.8%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
12.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Piacenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1986 |
VER
1 - 1
PIA
82%
12%
6%
|
61 | 80 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1986 |
CAM
0 - 0
PIA
44%
26%
30%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1986 |
PIA
2 - 4
ROM
25%
27%
48%
|
61 | 86 | 25 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1986 |
PIA
1 - 0
BAR
51%
25%
24%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1985 |
BOL
2 - 1
PIA
50%
23%
28%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1986 |
PRG
0 - 0
CAM
49%
27%
24%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1986 |
ROM
1 - 0
PRG
85%
10%
5%
|
57 | 86 | 29 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1986 |
PRG
0 - 2
BAR
42%
30%
28%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 1986 |
VER
1 - 0
PRG
84%
11%
5%
|
58 | 79 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1986 |
PRG
0 - 2
ARZ
46%
31%
23%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -2 |