Coppa Italia 1/32
Global 1-2
Piacenza vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
41.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Piacenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1991 |
MOD
1 - 0
PIA
69%
20%
11%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1989 |
BAR
3 - 1
PIA
71%
20%
9%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1989 |
PIA
1 - 3
PAR
43%
30%
27%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 1989 |
EMP
3 - 0
PIA
52%
29%
19%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1989 |
PIA
0 - 0
SSS
48%
29%
23%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1991 |
MOD
1 - 0
PIA
69%
20%
11%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1991 |
UDI
1 - 1
MOD
70%
19%
11%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1991 |
MOD
0 - 0
USC
47%
29%
24%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1991 |
REG
0 - 1
MOD
44%
29%
27%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 May. 1991 |
MOD
0 - 0
PES
47%
27%
26%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |