Piacenza vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
22.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Piacenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 1988 |
BOL
1 - 1
PIA
69%
19%
12%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1988 |
PIA
0 - 1
BRE
49%
28%
23%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 May. 1988 |
PIA
0 - 0
SSS
56%
25%
19%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1988 |
ATL
2 - 1
PIA
67%
21%
12%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1988 |
PIA
1 - 1
ARZ
59%
24%
17%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 1988 |
MES
2 - 2
SSS
57%
26%
18%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1988 |
MOD
2 - 1
MES
44%
29%
27%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1988 |
MES
2 - 0
ARZ
58%
25%
17%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1988 |
BAR
2 - 0
MES
53%
28%
20%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1988 |
MES
0 - 0
BRE
51%
27%
22%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |