Piacenza vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
20%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Piacenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
ARZ
3 - 0
PIA
33%
26%
41%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
ARZ
1 - 2
PIA
46%
26%
29%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
PIA
1 - 2
SIE
35%
26%
39%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
PIA
1 - 0
OLB
53%
24%
23%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2017 |
CUN
1 - 0
PIA
21%
24%
55%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2018 |
ASL
1 - 1
ARZ
34%
28%
38%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
ASS
1 - 0
ASL
57%
23%
20%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2018 |
ASL
1 - 1
LIV
21%
25%
54%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2017 |
PON
3 - 2
ASL
57%
23%
20%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2017 |
ASL
1 - 4
SIE
33%
26%
41%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |