Coppa Italia 1/16
Global 4-4
Piacenza vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.6%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
15.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Piacenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1998 |
INT
1 - 0
PIA
75%
17%
8%
|
82 | 91 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1998 |
PIA
1 - 1
LAZ
26%
28%
46%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1998 |
LEC
1 - 2
PIA
43%
26%
31%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1998 |
LEC
1 - 3
PIA
38%
29%
34%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 May. 1998 |
PIA
3 - 3
ROM
29%
28%
43%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1998 |
LEC
0 - 1
TRE
66%
20%
14%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1998 |
GEN
0 - 1
LEC
58%
23%
20%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 1998 |
LEC
1 - 2
PIA
43%
26%
31%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 1998 |
LEC
1 - 0
REG
61%
22%
17%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 1998 |
LEC
0 - 0
ASS
67%
19%
14%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |