Coppa Italia 1/16
Global 4-3
Piacenza vs Hellas Verona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
23.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Piacenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2000 |
CHI
1 - 3
PIA
37%
28%
35%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2000 |
PIA
3 - 0
VIT
86%
11%
3%
|
79 | 52 | 27 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2000 |
ASS
0 - 1
PIA
27%
29%
44%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2000 |
TOR
2 - 1
PIA
55%
25%
20%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2000 |
PIA
1 - 1
CAG
41%
26%
33%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Hellas Verona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2000 |
VER
2 - 2
ROM
31%
27%
43%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2000 |
REG
1 - 1
VER
37%
29%
34%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2000 |
VER
2 - 0
JUV
24%
27%
50%
|
78 | 92 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2000 |
VNZ
2 - 2
VER
48%
26%
26%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2000 |
VER
2 - 2
UDI
30%
26%
44%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | -1 |