Piacenza vs Folgore Caratese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.8%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
14.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
16.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.9%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.9%
4.2%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Piacenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
CIS
1 - 1
PIA
25%
22%
53%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
ACL
1 - 1
PIA
52%
26%
22%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2015 |
PIA
2 - 1
REN
44%
26%
29%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2015 |
GEN
0 - 0
PIA
88%
10%
2%
|
40 | 82 | 42 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
DEL
2 - 0
PIA
42%
25%
33%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -3 |
Matches
Folgore Caratese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
FOL
0 - 0
PER
36%
27%
37%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
ACM
2 - 2
FOL
16%
26%
58%
|
26 | 10 | 16 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
FOL
1 - 1
SON
48%
24%
29%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
INV
1 - 1
FOL
59%
22%
19%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
FOL
0 - 1
MAP
58%
23%
19%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |