Piacenza vs Crotone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
19.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Piacenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
TRI
0 - 1
PIA
36%
29%
36%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2011 |
PIA
2 - 1
EMP
43%
27%
30%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2011 |
PAD
0 - 0
PIA
49%
26%
25%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
SIE
2 - 3
PIA
66%
22%
13%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
PIA
4 - 0
GRO
42%
26%
32%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2011 |
VAR
1 - 1
CRO
53%
25%
22%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
CRO
2 - 1
TRI
53%
25%
22%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
SAS
2 - 0
CRO
55%
25%
21%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
CRO
0 - 1
ABN
46%
26%
28%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
MOD
1 - 1
CRO
46%
27%
27%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |