Piacenza vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
13.8%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Piacenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1976 |
FCC
1 - 0
PIA
54%
26%
21%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1976 |
PIA
2 - 0
SSS
54%
25%
22%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 May. 1976 |
PIA
3 - 1
VAR
38%
27%
35%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 May. 1976 |
VIC
0 - 0
PIA
65%
21%
14%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 1976 |
SPA
2 - 1
PIA
56%
25%
20%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1976 |
CAT
2 - 1
REG
54%
29%
17%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1976 |
SPA
2 - 0
CAT
64%
25%
12%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 May. 1976 |
CAT
0 - 0
VIC
38%
32%
30%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1976 |
PAL
1 - 1
CAT
63%
26%
11%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 1976 |
TER
0 - 1
CAT
71%
21%
8%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | +1 |