Piacenza vs Casertana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
22.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Piacenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1992 |
LEC
2 - 0
PIA
60%
25%
15%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1992 |
PIA
3 - 2
PIS
33%
29%
38%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 1992 |
UDI
2 - 1
PIA
70%
20%
10%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1992 |
PIA
2 - 2
PES
37%
29%
34%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 1992 |
CES
2 - 1
PIA
65%
22%
12%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Casertana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1992 |
CAS
0 - 0
MOD
37%
30%
34%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1992 |
CAS
2 - 1
LEC
32%
31%
37%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 1992 |
PES
4 - 2
CAS
67%
21%
12%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1992 |
CAS
2 - 0
CES
31%
32%
37%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 1992 |
AVE
0 - 0
CAS
51%
28%
21%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |