Piacenza vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.8%
20.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Piacenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1976 |
PAL
4 - 0
PIA
51%
26%
23%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1976 |
PIA
1 - 0
AVE
57%
24%
19%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 1976 |
PIA
2 - 2
BRI
68%
21%
11%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 1976 |
USF
2 - 1
PIA
53%
25%
22%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1976 |
PIA
2 - 0
PES
47%
26%
27%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1976 |
BRE
3 - 1
AVE
56%
27%
17%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1976 |
BRE
0 - 1
PAL
54%
28%
18%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1976 |
VAR
3 - 3
BRE
63%
25%
12%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1976 |
BRE
1 - 0
FCC
48%
31%
21%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 1976 |
SPA
0 - 0
BRE
62%
25%
14%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |