Piacenza vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
30.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Piacenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2006 |
MAN
1 - 1
PIA
45%
28%
27%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
PIA
2 - 1
VIC
59%
23%
18%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2006 |
ATL
2 - 1
PIA
62%
23%
15%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2006 |
PIA
3 - 0
CRO
52%
26%
22%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2006 |
CAT
3 - 1
PIA
51%
26%
23%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2006 |
BOL
3 - 1
BRE
43%
26%
31%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
MOD
0 - 0
BOL
41%
29%
30%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2006 |
BOL
2 - 1
VER
61%
23%
16%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2006 |
PES
0 - 0
BOL
31%
28%
41%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2006 |
BOL
0 - 1
TRI
68%
20%
12%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | -1 |