Piacenza vs Spezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
23.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Piacenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
TRA
3 - 0
PIA
33%
27%
40%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
PIA
0 - 0
FCS
65%
21%
15%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
SSB
2 - 1
PIA
29%
28%
43%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
PIA
3 - 2
BV5
68%
20%
13%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
LAT
2 - 2
PIA
22%
26%
52%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
SPE
2 - 1
FRO
38%
27%
34%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
ASA
1 - 2
SPE
30%
29%
42%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
LAT
1 - 2
SPE
25%
27%
48%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2011 |
SPE
1 - 1
TRI
34%
28%
38%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
FCS
1 - 2
SPE
33%
29%
38%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |