Piacenza vs Spezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
16.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Piacenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2007 |
PIA
1 - 1
TRI
65%
21%
14%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
VIC
1 - 2
PIA
41%
27%
31%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2007 |
PIA
2 - 1
SPE
65%
21%
14%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2007 |
CES
1 - 1
PIA
45%
26%
29%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2007 |
PIA
3 - 1
PES
73%
18%
10%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2007 |
VER
0 - 0
SPE
48%
25%
26%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2007 |
SPE
2 - 1
VER
46%
26%
28%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2007 |
JUV
2 - 3
SPE
81%
14%
5%
|
58 | 90 | 32 | +2 |
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
SPE
1 - 2
TRE
41%
28%
32%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2007 |
PIA
2 - 1
SPE
65%
21%
14%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |