Piacenza vs Ascoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.6%
10.9%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Piacenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
PES
1 - 0
PIA
24%
27%
48%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
ABN
0 - 0
PIA
26%
28%
46%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
PIA
1 - 0
TRI
65%
21%
14%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
CAT
3 - 0
PIA
27%
28%
45%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
PIA
2 - 0
TRE
70%
19%
11%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
TER
1 - 1
ASC
58%
23%
19%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
ASC
1 - 1
ATL
23%
28%
49%
|
59 | 79 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
TOR
3 - 1
ASC
66%
21%
13%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
ASC
1 - 2
PAL
38%
27%
35%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
AVE
2 - 2
ASC
32%
27%
41%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |