Piacenza vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.2%
31.5%
Draw
0-0
14.7%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.5%
30.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Piacenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 1970 |
MOD
1 - 2
PIA
51%
26%
23%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1970 |
PIA
0 - 0
ASS
41%
28%
31%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1970 |
PIA
1 - 1
TER
49%
26%
25%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1970 |
LIV
2 - 0
PIA
50%
28%
22%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1970 |
PIA
1 - 1
USF
42%
28%
31%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 1970 |
CAG
0 - 0
VAR
76%
16%
8%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1970 |
VAR
2 - 1
ASS
55%
27%
18%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1970 |
VAR
0 - 3
TOR
35%
28%
38%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | -1 |
| 31 May. 1970 |
FCC
1 - 1
VAR
27%
36%
38%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1970 |
BOL
4 - 1
VAR
68%
20%
12%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |