Piacenza vs Cittadella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
20%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Piacenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
PIA
0 - 1
PAD
59%
22%
19%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2008 |
PIA
3 - 3
MAN
45%
27%
29%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2008 |
CES
2 - 2
PIA
36%
27%
37%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2008 |
PIA
1 - 1
GRO
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
TRI
1 - 1
PIA
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
CTT
0 - 1
EMP
25%
26%
49%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
PIS
1 - 2
CTT
50%
26%
24%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2008 |
USC
1 - 3
CTT
50%
25%
25%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2008 |
CTT
0 - 1
USC
48%
25%
28%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
PAG
2 - 1
CTT
31%
28%
41%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |