Piacenza vs Arzachena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.1%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
9%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Piacenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2018 |
USA
0 - 2
PIA
41%
26%
33%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2018 |
LEO
1 - 1
PIA
49%
26%
25%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
PIA
0 - 2
ARZ
46%
27%
27%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
PIS
2 - 0
PIA
21%
25%
54%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
PIA
3 - 1
PIA
62%
23%
16%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Arzachena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
ARZ
2 - 1
SIE
21%
23%
56%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
PON
2 - 0
ARZ
66%
20%
14%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | -2 |
| 21 Nov. 2018 |
ARZ
0 - 2
NOV
17%
25%
59%
|
41 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
ARZ
1 - 3
LEO
17%
24%
58%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
PRO
1 - 0
ARZ
52%
24%
24%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |