Piacenza vs Prato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
11%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
3º
13º
8º
29
3º
16º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
51 | 75 |
1º
|
54% | |
|
1º
|
51 | 74 |
2º
|
44% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 71 |
3º
|
55.5% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 62 |
4º
|
62% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 59 |
5º
|
54.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
29 | 47 |
6º
|
16.5% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 47 |
7º
|
20.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
25 | 46 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 43 |
9º
|
20% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 39 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 38 |
11º
|
12% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 37 |
12º
|
14.5% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 37 |
13º
|
10.5% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 36 |
14º
|
19% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 34 |
15º
|
12.5% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 34 |
16º
|
15% | |
|
18º
|
16 | 31 |
17º
|
23% | |
|
17º
|
16 | 28 |
18º
|
46.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
4.5% | 6% |
|
Mid-table
|
92.5% | 91% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
3% | 3% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Piacenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
PRO
0 - 0
PIA
8%
18%
73%
|
55 | 34 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
PIA
1 - 1
LEN
60%
23%
18%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
FIO
0 - 1
PIA
25%
25%
50%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
PIA
2 - 0
COR
60%
22%
18%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
CIT
2 - 1
PIA
14%
20%
66%
|
54 | 8 | 46 | 0 |
Matches
Prato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
ACP
0 - 1
TUT
74%
17%
9%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
ASD
2 - 1
ACP
13%
18%
69%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
SAM
1 - 1
ACP
29%
26%
45%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ACP
0 - 0
LEN
26%
26%
49%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
RAV
1 - 2
ACP
71%
18%
11%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | +2 |