Piacenza vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
37%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Piacenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
FER
1 - 1
PIA
17%
23%
60%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2020 |
PIA
0 - 0
UAR
74%
17%
9%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2020 |
PIA
1 - 2
TRI
52%
24%
24%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
MOD
0 - 0
PIA
35%
27%
38%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2019 |
PIA
1 - 2
JS2
53%
22%
25%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
TRI
4 - 1
CES
25%
26%
49%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2020 |
CES
0 - 1
CAR
37%
27%
36%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
CES
3 - 3
VIR
70%
19%
11%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
VIS
1 - 0
CES
15%
24%
62%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
UAR
0 - 1
CES
15%
23%
63%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | +1 |