Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
22%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Philadelphia Union
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2012 |
GAL
1 - 2
PHU
56%
23%
21%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
HOD
2 - 1
PHU
50%
26%
23%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2012 |
PHU
5 - 2
PNN
72%
18%
10%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2012 |
PHU
4 - 0
KCW
36%
27%
37%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2012 |
PHU
0 - 1
DCU
46%
27%
27%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Toronto FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2012 |
DAL
1 - 1
TOR
41%
27%
33%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
TOR
1 - 1
RBN
30%
27%
44%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2012 |
MON
0 - 3
TOR
39%
27%
34%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 2012 |
TOR
2 - 2
NER
43%
27%
30%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2012 |
HOD
3 - 3
TOR
55%
24%
21%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |