Philadelphia Union vs Rochester New York analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
15.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Philadelphia Union
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2012 |
TOR
1 - 0
PHU
42%
29%
29%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
DAL
1 - 1
PHU
50%
27%
23%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
PHU
2 - 3
RBN
38%
28%
34%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
SES
1 - 0
PHU
69%
18%
14%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
PHU
1 - 2
SJE
44%
28%
28%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Rochester New York
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2012 |
PNN
1 - 0
ROC
39%
28%
33%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
DAY
2 - 2
ROC
23%
28%
49%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
ROC
3 - 0
BRO
75%
17%
8%
|
64 | 36 | 28 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2012 |
ROC
1 - 1
DAY
70%
21%
9%
|
64 | 43 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
CHA
0 - 1
ROC
40%
29%
32%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |