Philadelphia Union vs New England Revolution analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
31.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Philadelphia Union
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
PHU
6 - 1
ORL
53%
24%
23%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
CFS
3 - 2
PHU
52%
25%
23%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
PHU
2 - 0
SES
36%
26%
38%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2017 |
AFC
3 - 0
PHU
66%
18%
16%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
PHU
3 - 1
CFS
40%
25%
35%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
New England Revolution
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
NER
0 - 1
MFF
34%
25%
40%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
MON
2 - 3
NER
44%
25%
32%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
NER
2 - 1
NYC
40%
27%
34%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
NER
0 - 0
AFC
43%
24%
33%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2017 |
ORL
6 - 1
NER
37%
25%
38%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |