Philadelphia Union vs CF Montréal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
30.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Philadelphia Union
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
PHU
1 - 1
CAZ
53%
23%
24%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
PHU
1 - 0
CHA
49%
24%
27%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
PHU
3 - 0
NSC
51%
25%
24%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
PHU
5 - 1
NER
41%
24%
34%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
TOR
2 - 1
PHU
29%
24%
47%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
CF Montréal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
AUR
2 - 3
MON
29%
23%
48%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
ORL
4 - 1
MON
45%
24%
31%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
MON
0 - 1
TOR
61%
22%
18%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
RBN
2 - 2
MON
37%
25%
38%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
MON
1 - 0
AFC
45%
25%
31%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |