Philadelphia Union vs CF Montréal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
26.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Philadelphia Union
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2015 |
PHU
1 - 0
SES
31%
26%
43%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2015 |
GAL
5 - 1
PHU
53%
24%
23%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2015 |
PHU
0 - 0
ROC
74%
18%
9%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
PHU
1 - 2
NYC
53%
26%
21%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2015 |
PHU
3 - 0
COC
42%
26%
32%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
CF Montréal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2015 |
TOR
3 - 1
MON
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2015 |
MON
2 - 0
ORL
52%
24%
24%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2015 |
NYC
3 - 1
MON
49%
27%
24%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
COC
1 - 2
MON
50%
25%
25%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2015 |
MON
2 - 1
VAN
37%
28%
34%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +1 |