Philadelphia Union vs Mazatlán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
11.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Philadelphia Union
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
CIN
2 - 4
PHU
45%
24%
32%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
PHU
2 - 0
MON
45%
24%
31%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
PHU
1 - 1
CAZ
53%
23%
24%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
PHU
1 - 0
CHA
49%
24%
27%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
PHU
3 - 0
NSC
51%
25%
24%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Mazatlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
CAZ
2 - 2
MAZ
64%
21%
15%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
DCU
1 - 2
MAZ
70%
17%
13%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
NSC
0 - 2
MAZ
70%
18%
12%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
NER
1 - 0
MAZ
70%
18%
12%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
CHI
2 - 0
MAZ
62%
22%
16%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | -1 |