Philadelphia Union vs Cincinnati analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.4%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.8%
6.8%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Philadelphia Union
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
TOR
2 - 1
PHU
45%
25%
31%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2020 |
PHU
3 - 0
IMI
73%
16%
11%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2020 |
CIN
0 - 0
PHU
14%
22%
64%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2020 |
MON
1 - 4
PHU
34%
27%
40%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
PHU
2 - 1
NER
50%
24%
27%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Cincinnati
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
MIN
2 - 0
CIN
72%
18%
10%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
NYC
4 - 0
CIN
75%
17%
8%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2020 |
CIN
0 - 0
PHU
14%
22%
64%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
RBN
0 - 1
CIN
72%
18%
10%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
NYC
2 - 1
CIN
77%
16%
7%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | -1 |