Philadelphia Union vs DC United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
24.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Philadelphia Union
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2014 |
SES
2 - 1
PHU
59%
23%
18%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
MON
1 - 0
PHU
42%
27%
31%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
PHU
0 - 0
HOD
46%
27%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
RBN
2 - 1
PHU
55%
24%
21%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
PHU
2 - 2
RSL
32%
27%
41%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
DC United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2014 |
POR
3 - 2
DCU
53%
26%
22%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
DCU
4 - 1
DAL
35%
25%
40%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
COC
1 - 1
DCU
56%
25%
19%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
DCU
1 - 0
RBN
30%
25%
45%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
DCU
2 - 0
NER
37%
26%
38%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | +2 |