Philadelphia Union vs Columbus Crew analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
28.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Philadelphia Union
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
PHU
0 - 0
VAN
61%
24%
16%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
CFS
1 - 0
PHU
49%
26%
25%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
PHU
1 - 2
COR
44%
27%
29%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2012 |
POR
3 - 1
PHU
40%
28%
31%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -2 |
| 04 Nov. 2011 |
HOD
1 - 0
PHU
54%
24%
23%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Columbus Crew
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
COC
1 - 4
RBN
43%
26%
31%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
TOR
0 - 1
COC
38%
28%
34%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
COC
2 - 0
MON
55%
25%
20%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
COR
2 - 0
COC
41%
27%
32%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -2 |
| 28 Oct. 2011 |
COR
1 - 0
COC
43%
27%
31%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |