Philadelphia Union vs Chicago Fire analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
28.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Philadelphia Union
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
POR
3 - 0
PHU
53%
24%
23%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2018 |
HOD
1 - 3
PHU
51%
24%
25%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
PHU
1 - 3
GAL
46%
24%
30%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2018 |
PHU
1 - 0
ORL
58%
21%
21%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2018 |
PHU
1 - 0
EIN
29%
24%
47%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Chicago Fire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
RSL
2 - 1
CFS
40%
25%
34%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
TOR
3 - 0
CFS
49%
24%
27%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
CFS
1 - 2
TOR
42%
25%
33%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2018 |
CFS
4 - 0
LOU
71%
18%
12%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2018 |
DAL
3 - 1
CFS
53%
23%
24%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |