Philadelphia Union vs Chicago Fire analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
25.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Philadelphia Union
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2016 |
NYC
3 - 2
PHU
45%
24%
31%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2016 |
PHU
3 - 2
PNN
78%
15%
7%
|
76 | 47 | 29 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2016 |
PHU
3 - 2
COC
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
COR
1 - 1
PHU
43%
26%
31%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2016 |
ORL
2 - 2
PHU
42%
25%
33%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Chicago Fire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
COR
2 - 1
CFS
46%
25%
29%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2016 |
CFS
1 - 1
IND
74%
16%
9%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
CFS
1 - 1
POR
32%
26%
42%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
CFS
1 - 0
HOD
45%
27%
28%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2016 |
RBN
1 - 0
CFS
54%
23%
24%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |