Philadelphia Union vs Chicago Fire analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
33.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Philadelphia Union
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2013 |
PHU
1 - 4
GAL
31%
26%
43%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
CFS
0 - 1
PHU
51%
26%
23%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
PHU
2 - 2
SES
30%
27%
42%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
NER
2 - 0
PHU
37%
28%
35%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
DCU
2 - 3
PHU
54%
24%
22%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Chicago Fire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2013 |
CFS
0 - 1
PHU
51%
26%
23%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
MON
2 - 0
CFS
33%
27%
40%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
CFS
1 - 0
COC
43%
27%
30%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
HOD
2 - 1
CFS
44%
26%
31%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
CFS
3 - 1
RBN
39%
26%
35%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |